Monthly Archives: August 2010

What Leads to Winning? Model Building Part 2

This post follows directly from my last; you should go read that now.  In terms of improving our NFL winning model, since I already mentioned it, let’s start with opponent’s penalty rate.  If I add that to the model I … Continue reading

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Is Efficiency All You Need? Model Building Part 1

Advanced NFL Stats has both driven and pre-dated my interests in sports analysis.  I thought that the use of regression in basketball was great after reading the Wages of Wins, and then found that Brian Burke at ANFLS (that’s what … Continue reading

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Coming Soon

Football season is closing in!  I have a big project planned for once it starts, but I’m still putting it together.  Hopefully everyone will enjoy. I had intended on filling the meantime with a look at field goal kickers.  Football … Continue reading

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TMQ Rides Again

One of my favorite things about football season is reading TMQ (Tuesday Morning Quarterback, for those unfamiliar) on ESPN.com.  I’m not entirely sure why, because it’s gotten to the point that I skip over whole sections of his articles (namely … Continue reading

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Owners Versus Players

A non-stats post today.  Henry Abbott at True Hoop has a post today about Memphis Grizzlies’ owner Michael Heisley and how he has a certain lack of knowledge of basketball business.  The particular point is how the interview makes it … Continue reading

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A Quick Follow-Up on Free Agents

A comment on my free agent post had enough going on that I thought a quick post was in order.  The first part of it was using efficiency difference instead of point difference.  To my understanding, this would simply adjust … Continue reading

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Luckiest Teams in the Playoffs

My last post described the chances the Heat have of winning the championship this year, and how it is happening despite the Cavs being one of the dominant two-year teams of the past two decades.  So how unlucky were the … Continue reading

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