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Monthly Archives: December 2010
NFL Season Finale
There’s only one week left in the regular season and most of the playoff field is set. Since there are only a few questions, I’ll do something a little different this week and mention each game in Sunday’s slate. As … Continue reading
NFL Round-Up
My holiday roadtrip isn’t over yet, but I have enough downtime to catch up on the NFL. I didn’t do a good summary of the week 15 results and I didn’t post many week 16 predictions, so this post will … Continue reading
Thursday Night Prediction
Tonight’s game should be something of a snoozer, with the top-five Steelers hosting the league-worst Panthers. Bodog has the Steelers as 14.5 point favorites, no moneyline is listed, and the over/under is -115. Mario likes the under, Luigi the over, … Continue reading
A Question and An Answer
My last post had a lot of info, but was short on a few details. This post is going to fill in at least one of the holes.
The Dangers of Missing Variables
This post falls under the heading of stats learning time, but it’ll also be applied to basketball. Hooray! A warning: this is a long one, so you might want to grab some food.
A Poor NFL Update
I’m on the road so I don’t have great internet access. In my limited time, here’s a reduced-effort version of the weekly round-up and season predictions. In terms of the models’ performance, I haven’t looked at the exact numbers but … Continue reading
A Day of Dread
I start my annual long holiday trip today, so I’m just putting up all the picks now. There’s no info on Bodog for the Monday night game right now, so I’m leaving it blanked out. And that’s fine with me, … Continue reading
A Few Replies
My last post generated a few comments and they seemed like they deserved a little more room than my own comments in reply (plus I made some graphs!), so here we go.
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Consistent Pieces Lead to Predictive Wholes
The debate on rebounding and wins produced (for example) got me to thinking about a few things, one of which is the predictive value of models. A model that is able to predict future performance should, everything else being equal, … Continue reading
A Quick Prediction
Luigi likes San Fran to cover +9.5 tonight against the Chargers; Mario thinks the line is spot-on and so would stay away. Both give San Diego about a 73% chance of winning, and both barely have the over (45). Enjoy … Continue reading
