-
Recent Posts
Archives
- May 2013
- April 2013
- March 2013
- February 2013
- January 2013
- December 2012
- November 2012
- October 2012
- September 2012
- August 2012
- July 2012
- June 2012
- May 2012
- April 2012
- March 2012
- February 2012
- January 2012
- December 2011
- November 2011
- October 2011
- September 2011
- August 2011
- July 2011
- June 2011
- May 2011
- April 2011
- March 2011
- February 2011
- January 2011
- December 2010
- November 2010
- October 2010
- September 2010
- August 2010
RSS
Blogroll
Monthly Archives: January 2013
At Long Last, The Super Bowl Pick
I said that I would get my Super Bowl pick up last week, but thanks to the complete lack of pressure to do so I waited a bit. Today the wait is over: here are the model picks for Ravens … Continue reading
NFL Conference Championship Recap
The two conference championship games this weekend were both very interesting. The Patriots-Ravens game was interesting in that the Ravens won while the Patriots were big favorites – there were also a few interesting decisions that you may have read … Continue reading
NFL Conference Final Picks
We’re down to four teams in the NFL playoffs; the Patriots versus the Ravens and the Falcons versus the 49ers. One is a game full of storied recent history and the other involves the hottest thing in the NFL against … Continue reading
NFL Divsional Round Recap
Going into the weekend, it looked like there was a clear split in the entertainment value of the four games on tap. On the AFC side we had two blow-outs scheduled, with Denver and New England both favored by about … Continue reading
NFL Divisional Round Picks
Compared to the wild card round, the divisional round is a piece of cake. In the wild card you have the two worse division winners and the remaining two best teams in each conference; occasionally, those wild card teams are … Continue reading
A Wild Card Weekend in Vegas
Like my previous post said, I was in Vegas over the (long) weekend for a kind of reunion with grad school friends. It’s always a great time, and this trip was no different. And since I was there, I was … Continue reading
NFL Wild Card Picks
I’m going to be in Vegas this weekend, so the picks are coming up early this week. I’ll talk a little more specifically about each game, although there’s certainly already a lot of good content out there, some of which … Continue reading
Calvin Johnson is a Statistical Leader
Brian Burke had a post commemorating Calvin Johnson’s record by taking the opportunity to poo-poo the word ‘statistics’ as being similar to trivia. I understand where he’s coming from if that’s what he usually hears from people; Brian does much … Continue reading
The Signal and The Noise: When Predictions Change the Future
One of the interesting discussions in The Signal and The Noise is about when the act of making a prediction can change the prediction’s outcome. The background to that point is modeling the spread of diseases and the cool stuff … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged fourth downs, Nate Silver, NFL, predictions, The Signal and the Noise
Leave a comment
