Author Archives: Alex

Super Bowl Prediction

By now you’ve had about all the Super Bowl coverage you can probably stand.  Some of what I read included Bill Simmons’ pick (as always), Bill Barnwell’s breakdown and prediction, and a summary of previous offense-defense Super Bowls.  So I’m … Continue reading

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NFL Conference Title Game Recaps

I thought both games this weekend were pretty entertaining.  The Broncos had a sizable lead for the second half, but the Patriots worked their way back to striking distance; if you hung around for the whole game, they were a … Continue reading

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NFC Conference Title Game Predictions

We’re down to four teams, and as everyone has been telling you, it’s the four teams you probably expected to be here at the beginning of the season.  Of course, that in itself is unexpected.  At the beginning of last … Continue reading

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NFL Divisional Round Results

Going by the spread we managed to have a chalk weekend, setting up some good storylines for the conference championships.  Chalk is never quite as likely as it sounds; if you assume that the better team has an 85% chance … Continue reading

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NFL Divisional Round Predictions

The divisional round is when the home team takes over.  As you’ve probably heard, and as makes sense since this is when the teams with the top records enter the playoffs, the home team wins these games at an unusually … Continue reading

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NFL Wild Card Round-Up

It doesn’t always turn out this clean, but just as the models predicted we had three close games this weekend.  The exception was the Chargers-Bengals game, where the underdog Bengals covered, which was also expected.  It was slightly less expected … Continue reading

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NFL Wild Card Predictions 2013

It’s playoff time!  Three of the games have relatively close lines and three games are going to be played in bitter cold, if not worse, so hopefully it should be a good weekend.  I’ll take a quick look at each … Continue reading

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NFL 2013 Model Summary

Welcome to 2014 everybody!  WordPress does a nice thing in sending you a yearlong summary, and apparently I had about 30,000 views this year.  I took a class on science communication and the teacher said that any blog we had … Continue reading

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NFL Week 17 Round-Up

The NFL regular season is in the books and the firings have already begun.  There are going to be a lot of takes on the end of the season soon (and some already), so I’m just going to hit on … Continue reading

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NFL Week 17

You probably know what all is at stake at this point.  The scenarios are here: the only playoff-eligible team with nothing to play for is the Chiefs, who are locked in the 5 seed.  Chicago-Green Bay and Philly-Dallas are straight-up … Continue reading

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