Tag Archives: logistic

Most Finishers Finish the Same

I’m coming out of the stats cave for a quick second to look at a post on TrueHoop today.  Henry got some numbers from Hoopdata about which players convert well at the rim.  It turns out that Kevin Durant has … Continue reading

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Picking Winners in the NFL. Also, ROCs

As I said in my last football post, my big project is projecting winners.  Sports analysts do this every week; some people claim to do it well enough to make money (I’m going to end up being one of those … Continue reading

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LeBron and the Playoffs

Much has been made recently of how the Heat are going to cruise through the regular season now that they have LeBron, Wade, and Bosh, and crush everyone in their path on the way to winning the championship.  A few … Continue reading

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Predicting the Playoffs: NBA Edition, Part Two

In the last post, I laid out a logistic regression model for picking the winner of a NBA playoff series.  But the motivation for doing that came from TrueHoop’s Stat Geek Smackdown.  In that competition, you’re supposed to pick a … Continue reading

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Predicting the Playoffs: NBA Edition, Part One

A few years ago, Henry Abbott at the TrueHoop blog on ESPN.com started what he calls the Stat Geek Smackdown, where people known as stats guys in the NBA community pick the outcome of the various match-ups throughout the playoffs.  … Continue reading

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