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Tag Archives: regression
RAPM – Conclusions
So that was a long series on regularized regression, the technique behind RAPM. I covered what it is and how it tends to react to collinearity, sample size, noise, and the number of predictors. I thought a bit of a … Continue reading
Regularization: The R in RAPM – Predictors
The last thing I wanted to look at with regularized regression is the impact of the number of predictors. With NBA data, you would optimally get an estimate for every player who gets in a game. However, due to collinearity … Continue reading
Regularization: The R in RAPM – Noise
For my penultimate look at regularized regression, I wanted to see how noise affected things. We know that NBA play-by-play data is very noisy; the R squared is, at best, maybe .1. How does noise affect the benefits of ridge … Continue reading
Regularization: The R in RAPM – Sample Size
Moving right along with my look at regularized, or ridge, regression, this time I’m going to look at the impact of having more data. I mentioned previously that we might expect better estimates when more data are included; as players … Continue reading
Regularization: The R in RAPM – Collinearity
As mentioned in the background, the main benefit of regularized regression over standard regression is how it deals with collinearity. When your predictors are correlated with each other, standard regression becomes unreliable but ridge regression attempts to work around the … Continue reading
Regularization: The R in RAPM – Background
One of the preferred NBA metrics around right now is RAPM. The R stands for ‘regularized’, and the improvement over APM is that regularization helps with collinearity. I’m not going to be looking at actual NBA data (sorry), but I … Continue reading
When Will the Lions Be the Lions?
UPDATE! I added some new content below at about 6 on Monday, if you happened to read it before then. Despite only winning by a touchdown, the Lions looked really good this weekend against the Bucs, a young team (like … Continue reading
When Will the Pistons be Good Again?
ESPN has been running a series on each NBA team recently, asking five writers five questions about each team. Today was my team, the Pistons. The last question, a tough one for Pistons fans, was when we can expect to … Continue reading
Most Finishers Finish the Same
I’m coming out of the stats cave for a quick second to look at a post on TrueHoop today. Henry got some numbers from Hoopdata about which players convert well at the rim. It turns out that Kevin Durant has … Continue reading
Further Thoughts on Significance and Regression
Phil Birnbaum put up a post yesterday discussing the use (misuse?) of .05 as the p value indicating a significant result. P values have come up on my blog before, notably in the discussion of how important usage is, so … Continue reading