Wild Card Predictions

Playoff time!  I’m usually a little disappointed with playoff time just because there isn’t as much football to watch.  On the plus side, it’s typically better football.  Time for the weekend’s picks.

Over/under:

Moneyline:

You might notice that all the games are predicted to be fairly close; the biggest favorite is Mario putting Indy as a 60-40 winner.  Conventional wisdom is that the Saints are much better than the Seahawks, and they probably are, but home field is a helpful equalizer.  Hopefully all the games will be reasonably close.

Spread:

Same idea here; no one is predicted to win by much more than 3.  No strong favorites.  Both models would pass on the Indy-Jets game.

Bill Simmons:

Bill decided to take each road team to cover.  With his odds, that puts us in disagreement for Baltimore-KC and Saints-Seahawks (and sort of for Indy-Jets, although Luigi agrees).  I ended the season up a couple games, so we could be closer to even if things go his way.

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