Monthly Archives: January 2012

A couple of people asked about potential overfitting for the blends I mentioned in the last retrodiction post.  After a couple days of waiting for the iterations to run, mixed with multiple restarts for completely unnecessary computer lock-ups, here you … Continue reading →

In the first two posts in this series I looked at how well various NBA productivity metrics can explain what happened and predict what will happen.  But I think at least some people would say that they would never stick … Continue reading →

In part 1 I tantalized you with the ability of different NBA productivity metrics to explain what happened.  This time we get to the important part, which is their ability to predict the next season.

So with my happy new database, I’ve been sitting on updating my project of predicting past outcomes to compare different NBA productivity metrics.  But that is true no more.  Here goes.