First, I’d just like to point out that my post from late last night made it to TrueHoop (and Wages of Wins). Hooray! I have actually been mentioned on TrueHoop before, but I don’t think it was for a post. But more importantly, let’s take a look at the predictions for tonight’s Thursday night football game.
As always, I’m getting my ‘Vegas’ information from SBR. They have the spread at Titans +6 (-110) now, the moneyline at +230/-250, and the over/under at 43.5. So generally the Steelers are a solid favorite despite being on the road. If you’d like a little info on why this might not be a reasonable perspective, take a look at Brian’s summary of the game, which covers about everything I would point out.
My models fall roughly in line with Brian’s ideas. Luigi has the Titans losing by a point and a half, Yoshi 1 actually has them winning, and Yoshi 2 has them losing by less than a point. So they all take the Titans to cover. They give the Titans anywhere from a 45% (Luigi) to 60% (Yoshi 1) chance to win outright, so they all think the Titans are worth a look on the moneyline, although I’m not sure I would be that optimistic. And for what it’s worth, Yoshi 2 likes the under (expecting about 40 points scored) while Luigi and Yoshi 2 like the over (47 and 45 points scored, respectively). Have a good Thursday!