Merry Week 16 Picks

I’m at a rest stop on the way to celebrate Christmas with the in-law, so this one is short and sweet.  Hopefully we Lions fans can cry ourselves to sleep tonight and then dream of what we’ll do with a slightly better draft pick.

Here are the over/under picks:

home away Over/Under Luigi Yoshi 1 Yoshi 2
Detroit Atlanta 50 47.35 45.68 46.44
Dallas NO 52 48.87 46.46 47.46
GB Tennessee 44.5 44.8 43.35 44.38
KC Indy 41.5 43.56 42.08 43.39
Miami Buffalo 41.5 44.24 43.48 44.03
Philly Washington 45 46.5 44.77 45.63
Pittsburgh Cincy 42 44.07 45.15 43.85
TB StL 44 46.1 48.79 45.56
Carolina Oakland 46.5 44.76 44.68 44.29
Jacksonville NE 50.5 49.12 46.92 47.52
Baltimore Giants 47 46.54 43.58 46.18
Houston Minnesota 45 44.93 44.24 44.84
Denver Cleveland 44 46.56 46.83 45.99
Arizona Chicago 36.5 41.24 40.27 41.69
Seattle SF 39.5 46.64 45.17 46.51
Jets SD 37.5 43.11 42.32 43.01

And the moneyline:

home away Home Line Away Line Luigi Yoshi 1 Yoshi 2
Detroit Atlanta 170 -200 0.381 0.547 0.472
Dallas NO -138 118 0.522 0.769 0.537
GB Tennessee -700 500 0.673 0.596 0.634
KC Indy 245 -290 0.409 0.427 0.482
Miami Buffalo -225 185 0.61 0.756 0.596
Philly Washington 210 -250 0.356 0.558 0.443
Pittsburgh Cincy -185 160 0.556 0.547 0.545
TB StL -160 140 0.673 0.545 0.633
Carolina Oakland -380 315 0.683 0.673 0.637
Jacksonville NE 650 -1000 0.267 0.561 0.376
Baltimore Giants 113 -133 0.458 0.607 0.504
Houston Minnesota -390 320 0.693 0.617 0.645
Denver Cleveland -800 550 0.785 0.646 0.698
Arizona Chicago 210 -250 0.378 0.475 0.458
Seattle SF -110 100 0.523 0.709 0.552
Jets SD -143 123 0.553 0.452 0.551

And the spread:

home away Spread Odds Luigi Yoshi 1 Yoshi 2
Detroit Atlanta 4 -110 -5.02 -1.36 -2.8
Dallas NO -2 -110 0.88 2.81 1.21
GB Tennessee -12.5 -110 6.38 10.73 5.63
KC Indy 7 -115 -3.19 -3.51 -1.69
Miami Buffalo -4.5 -110 3.24 6.17 3.3
Philly Washington 6.5 -110 -3.53 -0.29 -2.26
Pittsburgh Cincy -3 -120 1.31 -5.63 1.35
TB StL -3 -110 6.05 4.58 5.31
Carolina Oakland -8.5 -110 5.89 4.73 5.27
Jacksonville NE 14 -110 -8.24 -4.02 -5.89
Baltimore Giants 2.5 -110 -0.67 3.72 -0.01
Houston Minnesota -8 -110 7.03 8.99 6.19
Denver Cleveland -12 -100 8.83 5.12 7.55
Arizona Chicago 6 -110 -3.72 -2.87 -2.29
Seattle SF -1 -110 2.72 9.49 2.74
Jets SD -1 -130 1.09 -0.53 1.36

And finally Bill Simmons’ picks and the what the models think of his numbers:

home away Simmons Spread Simmons Luigi Yoshi 1 Yoshi 2
Detroit Atlanta 4 Atlanta Atlanta Detroit Detroit
Dallas NO -2.5 Dallas NO Dallas NO
GB Tennessee -13 Tennessee Tennessee Tennessee Tennessee
KC Indy 6.5 Indy KC KC KC
Miami Buffalo -4.5 Miami Buffalo Miami Buffalo
Philly Washington 6.5 Washington Philly Philly Philly
Pittsburgh Cincy -3.5 Cincy Cincy Cincy Cincy
TB StL -3 TB TB TB TB
Carolina Oakland -8.5 Oakland Oakland Oakland Oakland
Jacksonville NE 14.5 NE Jacksonville Jacksonville Jacksonville
Baltimore Giants -2.5 Giants Giants Baltimore Giants
Houston Minnesota -7.5 Houston Minnesota Houston Minnesota
Denver Cleveland -13 Denver Cleveland Cleveland Cleveland
Arizona Chicago 6 Chicago Arizona Arizona Arizona
Seattle SF 1 Seattle Seattle Seattle Seattle
Jets SD -4 SD SD SD SD

Merry Christmas everyone!

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