The Cardinals were driving the field for a push-inducing touchdown, keeping my hopes afloat for the Thursday night pick, but then in typical Arizona fashion threw the ball away on fourth down to end the game. I guess it isn’t surprising, but kind of disappointing all the same.
In unprecedented news, I will probably miss the Sunday afternoon games for a third straight week because I have family in town. But I’ll try to pick out a couple games to say something potentially smart about.
The Lions will actually be on local TV this weekend, which makes it an extra shame that I won’t be hanging out on the couch. Both Detroit and Cincinnati are 4-2 and neither has been particularly impressive. Detroit lost to the Packers and looked bad doing it without Calvin Johnson, and also dropped a game in Arizona. Their wins have all been convincing, but the most impressive was probably just Chicago. The Bengals lost to both Chicago and Cleveland (giving Detroit the leg up in the ‘same game’ column), but has a close win over the Packers and the ugly win over the Patriots. So who knows with these two? You have to assume the Lions have a shot in any game Megatron plays, but you probably thought that last year too. Let’s see what the models say about the spread picks:
|home||away||Spread||Odds||Luigi||Yoshi 1||Yoshi 2|
Bill Simmons bailed on his picks this weekend and snuck them into an article about what NBA teams he thinks will be the most fun to watch on League Pass this year. You would think he’s reached his limits as a purveyor of ridiculous opinion rankings, but he keeps reaching higher and I keep reading it. He never made a Thursday pick as far as I can tell (presumably he was busy deciding if he would rather watch the Bucks or the Hornets on any given night), but he listed himself as 0-1 so I gave him the Hilton line and figured he picked the Cardinals. The rest of those picks are below:
|home||away||Simmons Spread||Simmons||Luigi||Yoshi 1||Yoshi 2|
The closest game this weekend according to the spread is probably Washington-Chicago, which started with the Redskins as a small favorite but has swung to the Bears as a small favorite. The game is in DC, so I understand Washington getting some credit, but otherwise I can’t see why they would be favorites. Proving my gut to be useless once again, the models also see this as a close game, but lean towards the Bears. Presumably it’ll be a shootout, since Washington can’t stop anyone, but the expected total isn’t especially high. Here are the moneyline picks:
|home||away||Home Line||Away Line||Luigi||Yoshi 1||Yoshi 2|
Rounding things out with the over/under picks, the highest scoring game should be either Colts-Broncos or Eagles-Cowboys. You could really pick any game the Broncos play in, as they’re good for 30 points on their own easy, but you can also see the appeal of Philly-Dallas. The Eagles’ offense has been as good as advertised while their defense has been terrible, and the Cowboys have shown that they can put up points too. Their lowest output was 16 against the Chiefs and their stingy defense, and they’ve broken 30 in four of their six games. So this could be a good one.
|home||away||Over/Under||Luigi||Yoshi 1||Yoshi 2|