NFL Week 11 Results

I wimped out a bit in Vegas; I placed an 11-team parlay that was doomed from the start (as virtually any such bet is by definition).  But let’s see how the models did and where I could have made some money in hindsight.

Bill Simmons had a good week at 10-4 for an overall record of 86-73-2.  Luigi failed to keep up at 7-7 for an overall record of 73-86-2.  Yoshi 1 did better, coming in at 8-6 for an overall record of 73-86-2, and Yoshi 2 came in at 7-7 for an overall record of 68-91-2.  Things are not turning around here.

On their own terms, Luigi went 5-5 for an overall record of 53-54-5, Yoshi 1 went an impressive 7-4 for an overall record of 49-63-5, and Yoshi 2 went 4-5 for an overall record of 45-63-5.  So Yoshi 1 would have been the way to go this weekend, but Luigi is still ‘leading’ the group.  The consensus picks went 2-3 for a total record of 30-36-4.

The SuperContest picks went a bit better than usual.  Luigi was 4-1, only missing on the Vikings, and getting three outright wins out of underdogs (the Falcons switched to favorites after the lines were set).  Luigi’s overall record is 24-31.  Yoshi 1 went 3-2 for a total record of 25-30, and Yoshi 2 also went 3-2 for an overall record of 26-29.  These are obviously below average, but theoretically six weeks (the rest of the season) of 3-2 results would get the models into the low 40s, which would be respectable.  That would be a nice way to finish the year given how it’s gone so far.

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