-
Recent Posts
Archives
- January 2015
- December 2014
- November 2014
- October 2014
- September 2014
- February 2014
- January 2014
- December 2013
- November 2013
- October 2013
- September 2013
- June 2013
- May 2013
- April 2013
- March 2013
- February 2013
- January 2013
- December 2012
- November 2012
- October 2012
- September 2012
- August 2012
- July 2012
- June 2012
- May 2012
- April 2012
- March 2012
- February 2012
- January 2012
- December 2011
- November 2011
- October 2011
- September 2011
- August 2011
- July 2011
- June 2011
- May 2011
- April 2011
- March 2011
- February 2011
- January 2011
- December 2010
- November 2010
- October 2010
- September 2010
- August 2010
RSS
-
Join 295 other subscribers
Blogroll
Monthly Archives: August 2010
What Leads to Winning? Model Building Part 2
This post follows directly from my last; you should go read that now. In terms of improving our NFL winning model, since I already mentioned it, let’s start with opponent’s penalty rate. If I add that to the model I … Continue reading
Is Efficiency All You Need? Model Building Part 1
Advanced NFL Stats has both driven and pre-dated my interests in sports analysis. I thought that the use of regression in basketball was great after reading the Wages of Wins, and then found that Brian Burke at ANFLS (that’s what … Continue reading
Coming Soon
Football season is closing in! I have a big project planned for once it starts, but I’m still putting it together. Hopefully everyone will enjoy. I had intended on filling the meantime with a look at field goal kickers. Football … Continue reading
TMQ Rides Again
One of my favorite things about football season is reading TMQ (Tuesday Morning Quarterback, for those unfamiliar) on ESPN.com. I’m not entirely sure why, because it’s gotten to the point that I skip over whole sections of his articles (namely … Continue reading
Owners Versus Players
A non-stats post today. Henry Abbott at True Hoop has a post today about Memphis Grizzlies’ owner Michael Heisley and how he has a certain lack of knowledge of basketball business. The particular point is how the interview makes it … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
3 Comments
A Quick Follow-Up on Free Agents
A comment on my free agent post had enough going on that I thought a quick post was in order. The first part of it was using efficiency difference instead of point difference. To my understanding, this would simply adjust … Continue reading
Luckiest Teams in the Playoffs
My last post described the chances the Heat have of winning the championship this year, and how it is happening despite the Cavs being one of the dominant two-year teams of the past two decades. So how unlucky were the … Continue reading
LeBron and the Playoffs
Much has been made recently of how the Heat are going to cruise through the regular season now that they have LeBron, Wade, and Bosh, and crush everyone in their path on the way to winning the championship. A few … Continue reading
When Should You Sign a Free Agent?
A couple posts ago I mentioned that we could use my logistic regression model to inform what kind of team should hire a free agent. In addition to the playoff model, we need to know what kind of point differential … Continue reading
Predicting the Playoffs: NBA Edition, Part Two
In the last post, I laid out a logistic regression model for picking the winner of a NBA playoff series. But the motivation for doing that came from TrueHoop’s Stat Geek Smackdown. In that competition, you’re supposed to pick a … Continue reading
Sport Skeptic 