Author Archives: Alex

2014 Super Bowl Prediction

In less than 24 hours, we’ll have a Super Bowl between two of the best and most evenly-matched teams in NFL history.  I think the general consensus is that the main determination will be if the Patriots can stop Marshawn … Continue reading

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A Quick, Bayesian Note on Deflate-Gate

Neil Paine wrote an article rounding up a bunch of the posts on the issue of if the Patriots are or have ever been Communists let the air out of their footballs.  I’m glad he did, because I was thinking … Continue reading

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NFL Conference Championship Results

With there being basically a dead weekend before the Super Bowl (does anyone really watch or care about the Pro Bowl?), I put the conference title games on the backburner until now.  As predicted by essentially everyone, the two favorites … Continue reading

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NFL Conference Championship Predictions

Tomorrow we get two games featuring probably the three consensus best teams in the league this season, and the Colts.  If we were back in September, you’d probably have the Broncos instead, but Indy handled that directly.  You might have … Continue reading

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NFL Divisional Round Results

Well, we avoided having an exact repeat of last year’s conference title games.  Instead we only have two repeat teams.  Seattle has made it again but will face the Packers instead of the 49ers, and the Patriots are back but … Continue reading

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NFL Divisonal Round Predictions

Since the Lions were knocked out while simultaneously demonstrating that the officiating system is broken while the NFL does nothing to fix it, it’s unclear why there are still playoff games.  After all, I just wanted to watch the Lions.  … Continue reading

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NFL Wild Card Results

The Lions game just ended, so it’s still a little tender.  But here’s how the model predictions did for the wild card round.

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